Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 13.484046 15.757551 18.238922 21.140620 24.432741 28.043595 32.295325
2025-05-04 9.823512 12.958339 16.737124 21.589062 27.610953 34.793747 43.959141
2025-05-11 7.497052 10.909648 15.362335 21.510155 29.676992 40.040995 54.056864
2025-05-18 5.855438 9.283699 14.072647 21.102235 30.979649 44.160261 62.830582
2025-05-25 4.666283 8.000883 12.954514 20.630743 31.956454 47.733955 70.974786
2025-06-01 3.767925 6.954322 11.966304 20.127340 32.709200 50.918745 78.679053
2025-06-08 2.963975 5.889234 10.758337 19.078675 32.458842 52.537556 84.149296
2025-06-15 2.659855 5.612596 10.757015 19.891785 35.076494 58.512944 96.337187
2025-06-22 2.338139 5.239238 10.527148 20.275477 37.007184 63.535673 107.370059
2025-06-29 1.962512 4.687408 9.895713 19.878599 37.585592 66.439850 115.264277
2025-07-06 1.602095 4.090940 9.087802 19.054289 37.329334 67.936813 120.965438
2025-07-13 1.495553 4.015258 9.262360 20.038558 40.281765 74.862907 135.799041
2025-07-20 1.392890 3.950930 9.493609 21.240622 43.883695 83.383248 154.238095
2025-07-27 1.230016 3.716467 9.353004 21.729401 46.281074 90.114102 170.298777
2025-08-03 1.048044 3.389857 8.960453 21.656751 47.608992 95.066198 183.646701
2025-08-10 0.874000 3.036427 8.443741 21.247577 48.226360 98.763147 195.007425
2025-08-17 0.725810 2.711725 7.933042 20.773473 48.647327 102.098555 205.890956
2025-08-24 0.601114 2.418014 7.441396 20.267091 48.933894 105.172564 216.448104
2025-08-31 0.474799 2.075860 6.757255 19.212123 47.947152 105.720416 222.353687
2025-09-07 0.439391 2.029768 6.852863 20.030130 51.054582 114.410395 243.947734
2025-09-14 0.392706 1.928693 6.777932 20.416123 53.238546 121.399963 262.672198
2025-09-21 0.328736 1.739289 6.412753 20.016865 53.615047 124.770946 274.605632
2025-09-28 0.264162 1.520223 5.911561 19.187591 52.912369 125.869319 282.138127